Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.027420 0.029416 0.031495 0.033827 0.036372 0.039069 0.042148
2025-06-15 0.023948 0.026761 0.029842 0.033479 0.037669 0.042364 0.048045
2025-06-22 0.021599 0.024880 0.028610 0.033187 0.038686 0.045122 0.053285
2025-06-29 0.019673 0.023209 0.027349 0.032590 0.039106 0.047010 0.057436
2025-07-06 0.018598 0.022406 0.026980 0.032936 0.040570 0.050140 0.063228
2025-07-13 0.017551 0.021528 0.026413 0.032930 0.041511 0.052587 0.068233
2025-07-20 0.016819 0.020973 0.026183 0.033292 0.042891 0.055627 0.074188
2025-07-27 0.015955 0.020184 0.025582 0.033096 0.043472 0.057581 0.078728
2025-08-03 0.015182 0.019459 0.025010 0.032878 0.043971 0.059407 0.083166
2025-08-10 0.014497 0.018807 0.024487 0.032677 0.044452 0.061199 0.087638
2025-08-17 0.013904 0.018245 0.024048 0.032552 0.045008 0.063101 0.092377
2025-08-24 0.013250 0.017564 0.023406 0.032093 0.045032 0.064188 0.095893
2025-08-31 0.012596 0.016859 0.022702 0.031513 0.044851 0.064967 0.099001
2025-09-07 0.012082 0.016326 0.022216 0.031222 0.045080 0.066376 0.103228
2025-09-14 0.011614 0.015838 0.021769 0.030959 0.045326 0.067809 0.107583
2025-09-21 0.011097 0.015257 0.021158 0.030412 0.045086 0.068430 0.110564
2025-09-28 0.010861 0.015072 0.021117 0.030731 0.046227 0.071359 0.117804
2025-10-05 0.010551 0.014764 0.020879 0.030725 0.046835 0.073425 0.123645
2025-10-12 0.010349 0.014608 0.020860 0.031058 0.048008 0.076510 0.131606
2025-10-19 0.010028 0.014261 0.020532 0.030878 0.048307 0.078091 0.136839
2025-10-26 0.009721 0.013922 0.020203 0.030677 0.048555 0.079585 0.142010
2025-11-02 0.009435 0.013604 0.019894 0.030493 0.048815 0.081107 0.147347
2025-11-09 0.009180 0.013326 0.019635 0.030378 0.049185 0.082842 0.153252